|
|
By Desibabu (May 1,2003)
General:
Stocks for companies can be evaluated in a
variety of ways. You will hear about Technical Analysis (based on
past performance and chart patterns), Fundamental Analysis
(overall review of company business, competitors, valuations
etc), Valuation Analysis (this focuses on valuation numbers, such
as stock price in relationship to assets, revenues, earnings,
cash flows etc).
I totally reject Technical Analysis and have
therefore not addressed it here. Most of what you see below
focuses on valuation Analysis and some Fundamental Analysis.
Company and Shares:
A public company is a company whose stock trades
publicly on the recognized stock exchanges. In USA, these
exchanges are the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the National
Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ),
the American Stock Exchange (AMEX). Each exchange has a set of
requirements to be listed. This means that if you start a local
cleaners business in a local strip mall, your business cannot be
listed, as it will not meet the minimum requirements such as
Market Capitalization (Value of Business) and a host of other
requirements.
For most people it is immaterial as to on which
exchange the stock trades. Historically, only mature companies
traded on NYSE as it has more stringent requirements. The newer
startups listed on the NASDAQ and as business grew and they
became larger companies, they moved to NYSE. However the NASDAQ
has grown so well, that many large companies such as Intel,
Microsoft, Cisco, etc have seen no need to move to NYSE.
When a public company is in business, the
shareholders own the company. Let us take an example of Oracle
Corporation, which has a symbol of ORCL and trades on NASDAQ.
ORCL has today approximately 5300 Million shares
outstanding. You can get the information on this at the following
link.
The number of shares outstanding can be obtained
by going to the corporate website, pulling up one of the recent
quarterly earnings press release and perusing through that.
Alternately, this information can also be obtained by going to
one of the financial web sites such as Yahoo. On Yahoo website,
once a quote is obtained, if you click on "Financials" and peruse
through the tabs, you will be able to find shares outstanding
(you will actually see numbers such as "Basic" shares and
"Diluted" shares – just use the Basic shares #).
So what does the "number of shares outstanding"
means? It means that, that is the number of shares you will have
to buy to own the company 100% outright. So for example, if you
were rich enough and you went out and bought every single of the
5300 million shares of ORCL, you would own ORCL 100% (the
business, the plant, the cash in the company, all the assets of
the company and also all the liabilities of the corporation).
Once you buy out all the shares, it is no longer a public
corporation. It has become a private company owned wholly by the
owner of the 5300 million shares in case of ORCL.
Since price of one share of ORCL today is about
$12, it would cost you 63.6 billion dollars (5300 times 12) to
buy all the 5300 million shares assuming you can buy those all at
that price. Generally the demand increases the price. This number
of approximately 63 billion is called market capitalization or
"Market Cap"
So what we are saying here is that the company is
worth 63 billion. So what if instead of 5300 million shares
outstanding, ORCL had twice as many shares – 10600 shares. Does
it mean ORCL is now suddenly worth 63 billion times two – 126
billion? No, ORCL as a business is worth still 63 billion, but
the price per share in that case would be $6 per share and not
$12 per share. This is what happens in a stock split. Instead of
a one quarter slice of Pizza, you end up getting two slices, each
one eighth in size.
| |